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Archive for May, 2008

May
31

As the season gets ready to blast into the month of June, the American league East looks great. They weren’t supposed to be all that great this year but so far they’ve clearly been the best division in the Americna league if not in the entire Major Leagues.

Right now the Tampa Bay Rays are surprising everyone by sitting atop the division. The Rays are 10 games over .500. They have a .593 winning percentage and the second best record in the Majors. In second place are the Boston Red Sox, the defending World Series champs. The Red Sox may be the best team in baseball but right now they’re only the second best team in their own division.

In the third and fourth spots are the Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles. The Blue Jays are sitting at four games over .500 and the Orioles are playing .500 ball. So four teams in the East are at or above .500. The other two teams in the American league have just two teams at or above .500.

And this brings us to the basement team in the AL East – the New York Yankees. The Yankees have A-Rod back and they’re now looking better. In fact, they are just one game below .500. So the AL East may be just one night away from having every team in the division at or above .500.

An argument can be made that the NL East is a stronger division in all of baseball. However, there is no denying that the AL East is the strongest division in the American league.

May
31

Yesterday’s team totals went a fantastic 0-3, but thanks to the laws of probability that is a result that’s going to happen from time to time.

I’ve made 3 team total bets today, and I expect to go 0-3 on these bets about 13% of the time.

The 3 prices I bet are:

Atlanta @ Cincinnati: ATL Team Total over 5 (-120)
% of Bankroll: 0.84%
Dodgers @ Mets: NYM Team Total under 4 (-105)
% of Bankroll: 0.57%
Oakland @ Texas: OAK Team Total over 4.5 (-120)
% of Bankroll: 0.70%

From Ryan’s sports betting blog

MLB Team Total Bets for Saturday – 05/31/2008

May
31

In a similar fashion to game 3, the Red Wings are again getting a favorable price on the puck line.

All the available prices I see look good, and the price I bet is:

Detroit Red Wings +1.5 (-275)
% of Bankroll: 1.36%

From Ryan’s sports betting blog

2008 Stanley Cup Finals: Game 4

May
30

After looking like the best team in baseball for about the first quarter of the season, the Arizona Diamondbacks are suddenly looking very ordinary. The D-Backs have now lost 4 games in a row and suddenly they’re sitting at just aix games over .500. The D-Backs have only won twice in the last ten games.

If not for the Los Angeles Dodgers losing four straight games too, the National league Central would be a lot closer. But the San Francisco Giants, who just finished up beating up the D-Backs are now just seven games back.

From the recently bad to the recently hot, the Chicago Cubs are suddenly looking like the best team in baseball. The Cubs hace won four straight games to raise their record to twelve games over .500. The Cubs’ .611 winning percentage is the best in baseball as no other team is at .600. This must be giving all the Cubs fans hope that perhaps they can finally break their long drought of not winning the World Series.

Also in the National league, the Philadelphia Phillies have strung together four wins while the NL East leading Florida Marlins have lost a pair of games. That combination draws the Phillies to within a half game of the Marlins.

So things in the National league are getting more and more interesting. What once looked like the Diamonbacks’ league to lose now looks like anyone’s to win. Things should continue to get more interesting as we roll out of May and into June. There are literally a few teams that can win the National league this year. And it’ll be fun to watch everything unfold throughout the summer.

May
30

Things have been very quiet over the past week, so I’ve decided to start taking a look at the R+H+E props that looked to be beatable last year. Some strides have been made with the methods I use to value run lines and team totals, so I’m going to work on applying that to the R+H+E props. Hopefully there will be some good bets with these sometime next week.

Today I’ve found 3 team total prices worth betting, but the market is fairly small on these so far, as there is just one early game.

The 3 prices I bet are:

Chicago Cubs @ Colorado Rockies: COL Team Total under 5.5 (-125)
% of Bankroll: 1.00%
Toronto Blue Jays @ LAA Angels: TOR Team Total under 4 (-135)
% of Bankroll: 0.75%
Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners: DET Team Total under 4.5 (+105)
% of Bankroll: 0.77%

From Ryan’s sports betting blog

MLB Team Total Bets for 05/30/2008